Storm Track
NOAA Model

DENHAM SPRINGS -- All weather services Monday morning gave two storm systems a 90 percent probability of  becoming a tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico.

Forecasters predict the unnamed storm to make landfall between Wednesday and Friday. Landfall area remains broad, stretching from southeast Texas to neither side of the Florida Coast. Current show the storm just off the Yucatan Peninsula.

The storm threat brings perhaps a greater sense of urgency to areas recently affected by flood last year -- including Livingston, East Baton Rouge, Ascension, St. Helena and Tangipahoa parishes --  where thousands of families remain in mobile-housing units or RVs during the rebuilding process.

Mike Steele, public information officer for the Governor's Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness, urged families in mobile home units to seek shelter with families or close friends in safer dwellings, not only because of the tropical storms but also for tornadoes the system may spawn.

The GOHSEP website offers other information about the storm. The agency also offers free download to a severe storm preparation app "Get a Game Plan," available on smart phones and androids.

The National Hurricane Center increased percentages for the development of a tropical storm in not just one, but two cases early Monday morning.

In a 2 a.m. post by NHC, the system of disturbed weather in the Caribbean — now named Invest 93L — has a broad area of low pressure located near the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula and continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms along with winds to gale force several hundred miles to the east and northeast of the estimated center.

It is now rated by the hurricane center that the formation of a tropical cyclone is both 90 percent for the next 48 hours and over the next five days.

Jumping into the picture is Tropical Storm Two — now named Invest 92L — which is organizing 550 nautical miles to the east southeast of Trinidad.

The system is moving west at 20 knots with current wind speeds between 35 to 45 knots and gusts between 40 to 50 knots. Seas are running as high as 12 feet.

The increasing strength and organization of this weather system has NHC requesting three hourly ship reports within 300 miles of its location.

This area of highly disturbed weather is expected to be rated a tropical storm as it moves through the Windward Islands Monday night into Tuesday.

Just like Invest 93L, NHC is reporting that its formation into a tropical cyclone is both 90 percent for the next 48 hours and over the next five days.

Models for the track of Invest 92L head straight through the Keys and into Miami, with a possible track along the Atlantic coast of Florida.


  • Know where to go. If you are ordered to evacuate, know the local hurricane evacuation route(s) to take and have a plan for where you can stay. Contact your local emergency management agency for more information.
  • Put together a disaster supply kit, including a flashlight, batteries, cash, first aid supplies, and copies of your critical information if you need to evacuate
  • If you are not in an area that is advised to evacuate and you decide to stay in your home, plan for adequate supplies in case you lose power and water for several days and you are not able to leave due to flooding or blocked roads.
  • Make a family emergency communication plan.
  • Many communities have text or email alerting systems for emergency notifications.To find out what alerts are available in your area, search the Internet with your town, city, or county name and the word “alerts.”


  • Hurricane winds can cause trees and branches to fall, so before hurricane season trim or remove damaged trees and limbs to keep you and your property safe.
  • Secure loose rain gutters and downspouts and clear any clogged areas or debris to prevent water damage to your property.
  • Reduce property damage by retrofitting to secure and reinforce the roof, windows and doors, including the garage doors.
  • Purchase a portable generator or install a generator for use during power outages. Remember to keep generators and other alternate power/heat sources outside, at least 20 feet away from windows and doors and protected from moisture; and NEVER try to power the house wiring by plugging a generator into a wall outlet.
  • Consider building a FEMA safe room or ICC 500 storm shelter designed for protection from high-winds and in locations above flooding levels.  

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